On the menu today: As much as I may feel in my heart that the top story this morning is the New York Jets beating the previously 6-1 Buffalo Bills, our attention must refocus on tomorrow’s midterm elections. This is just about the latest possible date for final predictions in the battle for control of Congress, so below are the final calls on control of the House and the big races in the Senate. (Tomorrow, I’ll go through the governor’s races.)
I guess I’ve put off my election predictions for as long as I can. I usually prefer to hold off until right before Election Day, because you never know when some October surprise — or more accurately, a November surprise — will come along and change the dynamic, or give those last few undecided voters a reason to break a certain way.
But I think one of the big stories of the 2022 midterms is how much the dynamics haven’t changed. This looked like a big GOP wave year back in the spring; it looked like a more modest GOP wave year back in midsummer; and it’s steadily looked more and more like a big GOP wave year as autumn progressed. I also think a lot of the ...